Microstrategy bought ads in 2000 during the superbowl advertising who even knows what. That year their stock fell from $333 to below $5 on the back of accounting fraud. Fast forward to just today some of their January puts went up 300% in a single day after FTX imploded. So yeah interesting times ahead.
No money in far otm puts. They're priced accordingly. I said last January Tesla would trade under 500 by the end of this year. To put my money where my mouth is, it would have been like 20k per contract.
Far? Pshhh not far enough. These would have been Congressional level returns. Ol' Pelosi would be proud. Evil. But still proud. Let's say "evil and proud". Great moniker for her future tombstone
Why does Salesforce even need a Super Bowl ad featuring Matthew McConaugheny it’s a B2B enterprise software and one with dominant market share at that. Is the hope like some random CIO who just woke up from a coma is watching the game and has an epiphany to buy Salesforce?
It’s the same argument people say with Doritos having commercials every year. It’s not exactly about getting brand new customers. It’s about when you head to the store and have to buy it, it’ll catch your eye because if your subconscious seeing it on TV
It reminds me of Lockheed and Boeing advertising their latest fighter jets. Like who's getting swayed to drop all their cash on jets apart from the Australian Government?
unless you account for Cheetos/Pepsi and T-Mobile banners in every SuperBowl commercials and ad inside the stadium to know you never short specific companies- ever.
They run another add where Mcconohey is doing a line off Barbie Margot Robbie’s asshole and he just says “quit being poor and buy some frustrating business software”
Solid no, best case you would made like 900 or something depending on your position. If they were bankrupt you would made a 999$ and had your full collateral returned.
It's also impossible to spend money to short something. You can short $1000 worth of stock, but then you add $1000 to your account's balance up front rather than subtract $1000 from it.
Kinda makes sense. A crazy expensive super bowl ad could be a Hail Mary attempt by a troubled company to get attention. It could also be an indicator of frivolous spending by the CEOs.
Uh... We have also seen a pretty significant downturn in the market, so you'd probably need to go back decades and note when this kind of analysis was true.
I doubt that. Best case scenario you’d make 1000$. The only way to become a billionaire would be with uncovered short positions, leverage or buying Puts.
Did you hack my portfolio? I spent all night last year doing my DD while watching the Superbowl... Good news is Cathie thinks I'm getting close to "deep value" territory.
I just don't understand why would you go and let the shorts be ahead of the game by telling him what you're going to short in February... I would just make it a surprise and fuck these assholes over... It's smarter for all of us just to join in February and just make a date and fucking short the shit out of these companies screw them all
This reminds me of Josh Brown’s anecdote about how one of his hedge fund friend’s strategies was to short any company that has paid to have its name on an NFL stadium.
OK so right what you're saying is that these companies have money from venture capital and are desperate to get acknowledged so they advertise for the Super Bowl but because they are failing companies only kept alive by dumb money investors and operating out of desperation, within only a few months they tank with relative certainty?
Gonna buy PUTS on Affirm and Upstart tomorrow at open. Down +-20 % already after hours , but come on boys’, these companies are essentially worthless ☝️💩
Is that a $1,000 on each one?
No there’s an etf called RGRD for all of it combined.
where did you get your certification in shitposting? I got mine at 420 university on 69th ave.
Is that math proven ? Screenshots
Parlay
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Free life protip: Never short a company that sells alcohol.
An older version of this line of thinking is do not invest in companies who give naming rights to stadiums/arenas.
Reverse Cramer Madden
Microstrategy bought ads in 2000 during the superbowl advertising who even knows what. That year their stock fell from $333 to below $5 on the back of accounting fraud. Fast forward to just today some of their January puts went up 300% in a single day after FTX imploded. So yeah interesting times ahead.
Maybe by buying far OTM puts but not directly by shorting the shares with $1000
Yeah 😂 I would expect max profit would be you keep that 1000$ tax free if they go bankrupt. What am I missing?
Even by buying far OTM puts you’re not gonna go $1000 to 1 billion lol.
Was really scratching my head (and balls) on this one
Did you know 74.3% of statistics are completely made up?
Yes it's called hyperbole you autist
Nah he just has the goated 1:1,000,000 leverage worked out
That math still sounds off though. Almost too easy, a lot of regards wouldve been billionaires by accident if it were true
How would far out of the money puts be profitable? Not well versed here in options.
No money in far otm puts. They're priced accordingly. I said last January Tesla would trade under 500 by the end of this year. To put my money where my mouth is, it would have been like 20k per contract.
Far? Pshhh not far enough. These would have been Congressional level returns. Ol' Pelosi would be proud. Evil. But still proud. Let's say "evil and proud". Great moniker for her future tombstone
Why does Salesforce even need a Super Bowl ad featuring Matthew McConaugheny it’s a B2B enterprise software and one with dominant market share at that. Is the hope like some random CIO who just woke up from a coma is watching the game and has an epiphany to buy Salesforce?
Basically. You’ve never worked under a CTO/CIO in a laggard firm. They are astonishingly ignorant of what’s happened over the last 20 years.
When I was working for them, Applied Materials had a suoerbowl ad.
It’s the same argument people say with Doritos having commercials every year. It’s not exactly about getting brand new customers. It’s about when you head to the store and have to buy it, it’ll catch your eye because if your subconscious seeing it on TV
Not allowing other brands to get new/more exposure.
You’re asking why a sales company wants to stay #1
It reminds me of Lockheed and Boeing advertising their latest fighter jets. Like who's getting swayed to drop all their cash on jets apart from the Australian Government?
And don’t forget Sofi that sponsored the whole stadium !
SoFi be SoFly
unless you account for Cheetos/Pepsi and T-Mobile banners in every SuperBowl commercials and ad inside the stadium to know you never short specific companies- ever.
what's up with sofi? should I not be banking with them? that 3% saving account is 🔥
Sports Authority Field as well
Salesforce looks left and right: "sigh...I need new friends"
They run another add where Mcconohey is doing a line off Barbie Margot Robbie’s asshole and he just says “quit being poor and buy some frustrating business software”
Such a shame between the Heroku hack and removing the free tier because those filthy cryptominers.
Well maybe knock it off with that Lightning shit!
This doesn’t make sense, but I guess that’s what makes this post belong here. You can’t spend $1000 to open a short sale
not with that attitude
You can if you pay someone $1000 to short $1000 of a stock. It's like the banana stand, you take a buck, toss a banana.
It's a Twitter post...are you surprised it's regarded? Only way it could get worse is if it were TikTok
Fortune favors the PUTS!
Thanks Matt Damon!
Maybe they meant a 1000 in otm puts for each company perfectly timed
Solid no, best case you would made like 900 or something depending on your position. If they were bankrupt you would made a 999$ and had your full collateral returned.
It's also impossible to spend money to short something. You can short $1000 worth of stock, but then you add $1000 to your account's balance up front rather than subtract $1000 from it.
Leverage and DOTM puts.
Did not know FTX had a Superbowl ad. Anyways RIP FTX
Can someone ELI5 what's happening with FTX
it was my fav one
FTX isn’t publicly traded so you couldn’t have shorted it
Shorting has a maximum 100% upside. If all those companies went under you'd have $2000... Donno where the other billion dollars comes from.
If u were short $1000 on those companies wouldn't you have like.. almost $1000 now?
this dickhead doesnt understand how shorting works lol
RKT is still profitable at least, and the CEO keeps buying the dip.
Didnt he already own like 90% or something or am i tripping
The whole market is down lol. This could be said for pretty much anyone.
Kinda makes sense. A crazy expensive super bowl ad could be a Hail Mary attempt by a troubled company to get attention. It could also be an indicator of frivolous spending by the CEOs.
I think they were still high on cheap debt and the bull market was "just correcting"
If you can short and make a billion dollars, you can short and owe a billion dollars.
Uh... We have also seen a pretty significant downturn in the market, so you'd probably need to go back decades and note when this kind of analysis was true.
1 year is all the trend I need
Hi, I havent lost enough money, what stocks do you guys recommend to quickly tank my bank?
This is terribly wrong. Correct me if I'm wrong, I only dropped out of 9th grade
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He got all of you wasting your time talking about nothing .
Add Lucid please..
Lies. If my aunty had balls she'd be my uncle.
Definitely realistic and not hyperbole. Dumbest shit I've seen all day, and I teach middle school.
Does that math check out?
https://twitter.com/chrisjbakke/status/1590048867118374914
This fuck wad probably meant buying puts.
Fun fact: saying fun fact doesn't automatically make it a fact
I doubt that. Best case scenario you’d make 1000$. The only way to become a billionaire would be with uncovered short positions, leverage or buying Puts.
If you short $1k max profit could only be $1k😅
I put over $60,000 into Rocket stock. FML
How do I short Chris Bakke?
I didn't realize it was that easy. I need to learn to puts and calls work.
1000, 2000, 4000, 8000, 16000, 32000, 64000, 128000, 256000, 512000, 1024000, 2048000, 4096000, 8192000, 16384000, 32768000, 64000000 ( - Lambo), 128,000,000, 256,000,000, 512,000,000, 1,240,000,000. 🤷♂️😎🍻
Did you hack my portfolio? I spent all night last year doing my DD while watching the Superbowl... Good news is Cathie thinks I'm getting close to "deep value" territory.
No you wouldn't, not without massive leverage
Let me know which ones so I can buy some calls. We need to keep entropy in check.
Lol a 1000000x return? No. Conceivably a millionaire depending on the strike price and date of your puts and when you bought them.
Plot twist: If I was a billionaire I would spend all of my money on super bowl ads
A billionaire? I doubt it.
Lol what? That math makes no sense. Shorting with $1000 down 99.99% nets you $9,999.99
This post doesn't make any sense.
Ya a recession will do that to a lot of companies.
... That's just another way of saying if you had shorted the market right before the correction you would be rich. No fucking shit.
SoFi is so fucked.
Dam..
You forgot a whole stadium named after Sofi
If you spent $1000 shorting them you would have about $1700
The most you can make on a $1000 short is $1000, but yeah sure
I just don't understand why would you go and let the shorts be ahead of the game by telling him what you're going to short in February... I would just make it a surprise and fuck these assholes over... It's smarter for all of us just to join in February and just make a date and fucking short the shit out of these companies screw them all
Um the max u can make on a short is 100%?
What about SoFi?
This reminds me of Josh Brown’s anecdote about how one of his hedge fund friend’s strategies was to short any company that has paid to have its name on an NFL stadium.
If you short something for $1000 the most you can make is $1000, assuming they go bankrupt.
If I spent 1000 dollars shorting?? What is shorting
this wasn't ALL the super bowl ads lol
Why the sucking duck is this a popular post?
Don’t think so.
Let's short next years sponsors - who is in?
Surely more than 10 companies placed ads in last years super bowl
Dont forget Sofi.
OK so right what you're saying is that these companies have money from venture capital and are desperate to get acknowledged so they advertise for the Super Bowl but because they are failing companies only kept alive by dumb money investors and operating out of desperation, within only a few months they tank with relative certainty?
We need superbowl short index
People still watch sports?
Just 1000 really? Damnn
Buy $BYND 2024 calls ez
How do I short a stock?
🤔Puts options
Spain without the P
maf is wearlly harrd
2000 was the same. All internet companies.
I need a hybrid reverse-Cramer/anti-superbowl ad buyers index
except it doesent work like that because its over a time period so you could easily get liquidated at some point
Might be a fun fact but it’s definitely not a true fact.
False!
Inverse Super Bowl is born?
Yeah it pretty much any stock since February
We have a perfect opportunity to test this theory. The super Bowl is coming up on Sunday, February 12, 2023.
Very interesting.
Who knew that shorting companies with bad metrics was a moneymaker?
Wouldn’t this be true be for any stock since the market as a whole suffered?
Why is this a fun fact?. That’s nothing to laugh about.
Dot com bubble same thing. Even had a commercial the next year showing all the dead companies
Interesting how many of these listed were first time Super Bowl advertisers….
What worked back then doesn't always work now
20 double downs in a roll starting with $1000. GL
What? How would any rational human even remotely believe this nonsense?
Um how? This guy could solve the mystery of how shorts are still going. Maybe he knows something we don't. I say we keep him for interrogation
This is absolutely not related to the recession and 100% related to the Superbowl.
Add in polestar too lol
I've wondered if this works for companies that put naming rights on stadiums and arenas.
And thousands of companies that didn’t advertise on the Super Bowl lost a bundle of value too.
Covid play
Think I will check and see what Nancy is doing.
Someone doesn’t know how shorting works
FOrtUnE FaVOrS tHe BoLD
They missed Robinhood
Which one was the commercial with Matt Damon standing in space or something?
Whoever Chris J Bakke is, he belongs here
Coinbase puts be like brrrrrrr
that's how hindsight works
Now this is something to remember for after the next pandemic in 10-20 years.
Planet Fitness?
Any company that spends millions for seconds of air time probably has some financial issues
GM? They are only down $10 since the superbowl.
Reminds me of the Dot Com Super Bowl of 2000:
“But we’re not technically in a recession!!” -🤓
And you would have been absolutely shafted by PEP and KO.
Everything is down since February.
Salesforce? Interesting. The rest are garbage anyway.
How do I short
But if it went the other way would you be a billioiin in debt?
The math is not adding up to me. Oh well. It makes perfect sense if you just don’t think about it. That’s usually my strategy.
Salesforce? Nah they’re not going anywhere anytime soon unless they’re bought out.
Gonna buy PUTS on Affirm and Upstart tomorrow at open. Down +-20 % already after hours , but come on boys’, these companies are essentially worthless ☝️💩
Wtf is vroom
Looks like a similar company to Carvana
genius
Please forgive my ignorance but I thought Uber Eats killed it during the pandemic
Yeah in 2020 and '21...
Who comments that a shitty business "killed it". The gig economy killed America.
Too bad lightning doesn't strike twice in the same bank account
Is this really a take when the entire market has crashed? You could have shorted anyone and win.
hiiii
1k on Carvana
I should short my own self. I'd be rich by now.
How does this math
Tell me more of your foolproof ways to make a 1,000,000% return today.
Ah yes, I’ll take you alls word for it
I’ve always said there was a correlation between advertisers and poor market outlook and performance.
Fuck Salesforce
Well lucky I just got a €1000 reimbursement from the government
Chris Bakke get ready to get shorted!
Your mum ?
Wow its almost like the super ball commercial is their last attempt to not fall from glory.
Their all dead
If the market goes down 20-30% again then sure it’ll work again. I doubt that happens unless we are somewhat green from now till then
No this is totally not a cherry-picked list shush boy
Shorting with puts maybe.
If you get rid of coinbase I give up okay idk where els to run from this insolvency