spacedebriss







I have to say it because people still don't get it. When there's a run-up before a yearly options expiry, and there's MSM articles going "are meme-stocks squeezing again", it's an ENGINEERED PUMP TO GET FOMO AND LIQUIDITY. Hedgies need to kick the can and need liquidity to do it. Don't give them any

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Why the Gamma Ramp still matters: A recap for those who have forgotten what a Gamma Squeeze is, 84 years ago.

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Addressing the DORITO OF DOOM

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A Picture Book for Apes: Understanding Citadel's $65-billion in 'Securities Sold, not yet purchased' filing. Warning: Not Safe for Hype.

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Split-Strike Defense – A New Witching Theory: The Dividend Share Split worked perfectly! Most of the naked short position is hidden among ‘friends’. Easily 2 billion naked shorts on GME right now.

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  1. Spy puts were a bad choice. Selling those because I think we might be in a bull trap and it could run some more. Might buy some aapl calls. Might lose all my money. I think tsla could keep running too, but those calls are fucking expensive

  2. I don’t see how they can dump the price further with CTB continuing to rise and the fact that there hasn’t been a liquidity grab since Oct 31. They NEED to let the price run up at some point here with high volume to dump us to under 15 going into Feb and March. Otherwise we’re just going to coast in the 18-22 range until the Springsplosion where they will be positively fucked beyond imagination.

  3. Yeah, CTB being so high still is weird. I'm not sure they did need to let the price run with a big liquidity grab. This last December cycle was the longest by a long shot, liquidity has been so dry that shorters were forced to stretch the cycle way longer than they should have needed to. We're in the March cycle now so the price should fall until April.

  4. Yeah but the 35 calendar days for reg sho should be based on the delivery date not the FTD date. So for example last quad-witching was December 16th then 35 calendar days from it would be January 20th, this Friday. If they had shares due by the 16th then they need to be delivered by the 20th, if they don't deliver on time then they start showing up as FTDs. We need to know the delivery date for the FTDs to figure out T+35.

  5. By definition it's not a FTD until the T+2 settlement passes. So when an FTD is created, you know they have a further 33 days to close out the FTD.

  6. I wonder if FTDs always hit the books on time though.

  7. Are you asking if ETFs create a limit on how many naked shorts they can create? Because I think there is a limit, I don't think anyone can create an infinite amount of naked shorts. Now at the same time I'm not sure ETFs are necessarily the main limiting factor. I think the main limiting factor is how many naked shorts they can park in retail accounts in the US and then overseas before the numbers start showing.

  8. I’m wondering if, in the current BBBY situation, if they are effectively able to offset their created FTDs (relate to their naked shorts) via higher liquidity ETFs, similar to what was theorized for GME… considering it’s the same basket, one would think so, but I just haven’t seen much DD on it.

  9. I'm concerned too. I'm still hoping we run a bit more this week, but all of the sentiment lately seems to be that this week is just the start. I think we're going to crash hard on or by Friday.

  10. How are you getting January 26th from last Opex date. Shouldn't 35 calendar days from December 16th be January 20th?

  11. I don't see how they allow any type of cycle peak on yearly options expiration week. Nothing to back it up, just common sense. Why would they allow more strikes to go in the money?

  12. Naked shorters control the price. They know when they'll pump it, they know when they'll crush it. A huge portion of the call options could belong to naked shorters. They pump the price before the 20th and cash out or exercise their options, close out the rest of their naked shorts for this cycle, and then crush the price by the 20th so everyone who was still hanging on to their options for the run gets destroyed.

  13. I'm hoping you're right, but I have my doubts. It just wouldn't make sense for them to allow that many calls to go in the money. I have a plan, but I need it to run to at least 30. That's a 50% move on a short (4 day) leap expiration week. Seems doubtful, but we'll see.

  14. I sure hope I'm right too. I do worry that we're in the drop already, but we'll find out next week. There are still some strong signs that GME and BBBY and even SPY now that I look at it are all going to run a bit more next week. I think they're going to crash pretty fucking hard after that though.

  15. Yah. Want proof of this in the basket? Go take a look at towel stock and look at their volume today. Then look at the float. Then look at the volume again. That’s right: it is on its way to trading almost 3x its float: Just today. Within the next 24 hours the ‘media’ will be reporting that retail did it. Lol. It ain’t retail.

  16. It's like the run-up back in August towel had. I really want me some 40, 50, 60 million volume GME days here this week and next. Maybe even a 100 million volume green day. It will be interesting to see how GME plays out the next two weeks.

  17. One of my dreams would be GameStop NFTs being used in unreal engine. Anyone can make a game today using unreal engine, but sometimes buying stuff to build your game in unreal engine can be expensive. Imagine if you could download an NFT of some landscape or building to use in your video game. Everytime someone pays to buy your game a small cut also goes to the person who built the buildings or landscape you're using in your game.

  18. It really would incentivize collaboration and long term quality to keep that $$$ coming in

  19. Exactly. I hope Epic and Gamestop team up to beat Meta. I want a decentralized metaverse.

  20. Haha I love it. Honestly, I do think we need to revisit the quad-witching theory. I started doing a bunch of my own research back in August and stumbled upon Welborn. This dude should be up there with Trimbath in my opinion. I’m going to keep spreading Welborn’s works because every wrinkled brain and really every Ape should try looking through his work:

  21. Personally I believe that, once drs levels reach 60% levels, it is more efficient to purchase long dated calls at the money instead. The leverage from options should, in theory and my opinion, act as a 10x multiplier on buy pressure.

  22. Imagine if Apes just made profits off of options and never had to sell a single share back. I definitely understand people on here not wanting to risk their money on options, but I don't understand the complete hatred.

  23. I edited the post to explain. I had a habit of not “showing my work” on math homework as a child. Lol

  24. Put options are no longer used to create synthetics though. Reg sho changed that. I know everyone is pumped about doomps being used as locates for synthetics but it doesn't really make any sense. Only exercised options can be used as locates these days because of reg sho rule changes plus if put options were being used as locates it would show up in the short percentage on GME. It's the same problem with tokenized GME being used as locates. If they were using those tokens as locates for all of their synthetics then it would show up in the short reports. They would also need to exercise the tokens in some way so that shares were scheduled for delivery. Naked shorting is built around pumping synthetics out into the market. The only way to create synthetics it seems is through ETF redemption.

  25. Okay I think I get where you're coming from. You're saying if I buy 100 shares then they either need to naked short by creating more synthetics or they can actually send some shares my way. Both are bad for them.

  26. Yeah I'm honestly so confused by all of the talk about margin and locates. The whole idea of naked shorting is that it looks like you're selling real shares long even though they're synthetics. You don't need locates for a naked short it defeats the purpose - using a locate would register as a legitimate short. Naked shorts don't get margin called because they don't act like real shorts.

  27. Imagine real supply vs demand. Then such a thing wouldn't be possible. Its all a fraud.

  28. The fact that we haven't run yet is wild to me. SHFs and Market Makers would want the price to rise as much as we do. They might even need it to. As soon as the December cycle ends, the March 2023 cycle begins. The march cycle begins with a ton of naked shorts that are dated for March 2024. They want to sell new naked shorts at a high price so they can close them at a low price later. If they crush the price from 20 into March. They'll crush it to 5-10 and retail will DRS everything. Looks like they're in pain. I don't think it's because of swaps, but what do I know. Maybe I went full redacted.

  29. Been reading some of your posts for over a month. Interesting to hear your thoughts and ideas (I haven't read the full 88 pages DD). TBH, your theory made the most sense vs anything I've seen for a long time.

  30. The 88 pager keeps expanding so maybe by the time I’m done I’ll have a novel that I can put on the nft store. First off, I’ll throw Welborn out there again, because every Ape should read a little bit of Welborn:

  31. I think quad witching cycles are still a thing. Market Makers have a delay and don't need to deliver by Dec 16th though, they have until mid January. I think we're still stuck in the December cycle. I hope hedgies are struggling to deliver dividends for December naked shorts that they should have delivered back in July. I think we'll see GME spike here soon and then the hedgies will crush the price for March if they survive the December cycle.

  32. Hedgies haves had control over the price for at least two years. I think this price drop is hedgie desperation, but we'll find out soon enough.

  33. Perhaps, but as you clearly show in this chart, when short interest and cost to borrow rises, the price shortly follows so an options play, if you have the appetite, may end up being a good call.

  34. Yeah DFV played shares and options. I already had some January options on top of my DRS pile because of the DD I did. This CTB stuff is really jacking my redacted. Options are risky, but they're hated here a lot more than I think they should be.

  35. I don't do options but I have been learning at a distance over the last 2 years, and as for me, "I Like the stock" and this chart jacks my tits too and may have to have a dabble.

  36. Make sure you know what you're doing and make sure you're willing to lose whatever you play on options. I do get some of the weariness of playing options here since they're a great way to lose money. DRSing and holding is still my main play.

  37. Instead of going from 8% to 30% during the dividend split, it did four times that. 32% to 124%. I wonder if CTB will hit 100% to 130% here in the next couple of days. That would be fucking amazing and could be a strong sign of delayed dividend delivery.

  38. I think they did, but I know that's an unpopular opinion here. I think naked shorters are playing perfectly within the rules on paper. Naked shorters didn't need dtcc fraud too hide naked shorts. The rules and GMEs price movement point to billions of naked shorts without the dtccs help.

  39. The grandfather exception and market maker exemption were taken away in 2007/2008.

  40. I'd have to look. It should be in my 88 page write-up in my post history. I have a section in there where I find weird connections between the stock market in 2007/2008, Bernie Madoff, and both of these exemptions being removed.

  41. Wait a minute. When this Harrison guy worked at citadel before FTX he, "took on two roles — as head of exchange-traded fund (ETF) technology and head of semi-systematic technology. In these roles, Harrison would lead Citadel Securities teams in managing quantitative trading strategies and increasing the company’s profits through optimization."

  42. We're going to need a Magic the Gathering deck for that many crooks I think.

  43. How about a god's unchained deck? Or NFTs? I'd pay for an NFT commemorating the day Kenny G finally goes to prison.

  44. Dang, look at that spike right after the share split. Naked shorts leaking onto the market when they were struggling to deliver dividends for the September cycle?

  45. I agree op. Kenny G got his start with puts and being a bear. He also made a shit ton of money back in the day doing convertible arbitrage. Now he uses those same techniques to naked short. He made money during the 80s crash and he made money during the 2000s crash. He struggled during the 2008 crash because the options market maker exemption was taken away. He currently still has his ETF loophole and right now he's buying and closing for cheap. A market crash is where Kenny G settles up and counts his profits. Too bad his GME liabilities are astronomical.

  46. I hope so. I do think naked shorters have been doing a lot of 'legit' shorting to counteract all of their buying. If they've been spending the last two years closing as many naked shorts as possible then I doubt they want to start growing their naked short position again.

  47. CA architect in since Feb 21, was clueless on mechanics, 22 months soaking up DD, 100% DRS, It’s become clear SHF’s had a strategy to keep kicking the can, but how? We all wondered for 22 months what’s it going to take to stop it. Until tonight....Your stellar DD fit the pieces together, not only what’s been going on but a logical forecast for April 14 and proof the split, DRS and diamond hand resolve are working. Like to see, at the current pace, how DRS effects the cycles, projections of DRS percentage of float by April 14. Hats off and bravo, this DD is no less than jet fuel to stoke the troops to hang tough, we are in the endgame. Look forward to your next update 🙏✊😎🦍

  48. DRS effect is another reason I'm sticking with March/April. It looks like they've been pushing GME sideways for so long lately because they're having trouble finding enough volume to close their December position, we'll see if they're successful. In March and April DRS is going to have locked even more of the float. Volume is going to be so fucking dry.

  49. My friend you’ve unlocked the scam, can’t thank you enough. What’s interesting is they were chipping away at closing, hiding shorts with friends, dark pools, it appears RC knew, saved his ammo and timed the split.

  50. Just been building on great DD I've read on here. I'd love to start seeing RC is a genius memes instead of DTCC conspiracies.

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