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BBBY short % of float 2.5x more than GME?

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BBBY Analysis - Part #5: “End Game DD” (Compilation/Summary of My DDs)

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BobSmith808's BBBY Option Analysis - Great Potential for Bulls

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  1. Thanks for your dedication in sharing your view and trades with us. I enjoy your write ups. The overall market looks the weakest it’s been all year and there is so much short interest it’s hard to imagine a flash/mini crash happening right now. Most are expecting it; I think we will see capitulation once inflation has starved out most average investors and they are cash strapped. Time will tell. Thanks again DD

  2. A lot of people here believe that RC “laid” out a treasure map before us with his purchase. Shares and Options. What happened in August had nothing to do with DRS but EVERYTHING to do with shares and options interest. Let’s not over complicate this. Continued pressure put on the call gamma in the options chain will light the fuse when enough buying interest comes into the stock just like last month. If retail gives up on options and focuses solely on DRS which will take longer to accomplish then this will turn into GME 2.0 where essentially it’s cyclical but it won’t experience any major melt ups like we just had. BBBY just had a melt up $4.38 to $30 in a three week time frame. The last time GME moved up 5-6x was in February- March 2021. Point in case. Based on what I’ve seen this mostly is a side play for most investors if we go this route as a sole focus then we will be turned into long term investors of the stock inadvertently. Long dated (3-9 months) as close to the money as possible to launch the 🚀

  3. I would of loved to hold and make money down the track I felt like I was in it for the long term but AA broke all trust. I actually think in the long term people are returning to the movies and AMC will become profitable again. But moass will never happen with a mega diluted stock. It may have runs here and there but moass is dead for AMC where as with BBBY and GME it’s alive and well

  4. What did you expect after AMC insiders all sold off in November’21 in the $40 range. The stock hasn’t seen those numbers since, that was your signal to get out. Good luck on your new endeavors; I hope you recoup the loss plus some!

  5. I don’t ever want to hear OPEX or NoPEX again

  6. I kinda feel like we see a touch below $20. I'm sitting on 70% cash, so I'm kinda hoping that's the case. This past week fucked me!

  7. Yeah I agree, I’m all cash right now. No positions opened. This month wiped me out; I took some bad trades and paid dearly for it unfortunately. But I learned some things so it’s wasn’t a complete loss. I do think we have a better chance of seeing more lows before the bounce. AMD is at its yearly low as of today. I believe the broader markets will rally into mid terms though. Good Luck

  8. Welcome to the “real” SLD period….third Wednesday thru Friday of every month. More downside thru Friday. Like I tried to share with you days ago. No offense but you took information you found from SS and posted here as bullish data that’s really misleading and false. Deposits can go thru Monday pre market via market orders.

  9. If you check my 3 candle update post near the bottom I spell out the 5 trading day sld period more clearly.

  10. Read what you just wrote me and tell me you’re not confused. honestly if you don’t understand what you are posting about then don’t pass it off as legit DD. I’m not trying to beat you up but all the misinformation that’s coming out of this sub is getting out of hand.

  11. Show ‘em who’s boss and exercise those contracts. Honestly though it’s just money; you can always make it back but it’s the friends you made along this journey that really matters…..Regards

  12. But when? I’ve got some mid October and November calls for 10 and 10.5 held already too long

  13. I’m out of BBBY completely as of today. I got annihilated on my calls clinging to hope. In hindsight it was foolish to think lightning would strike twice in such a short amount of time. My plan moving forward is to wait for confirmation of a volumetric move. I didn’t jump on in August until half up the mountain and made a killing. Then gave it back plus some. I’m not pre positioning for GME OPEXS anymore either; too much risk in my opinion. That’s my two cents; I still believe there’s money to be made off these though. But I need confirmation moving forward. Good luck

  14. Yeah I think that we started to figure out the rules of the game but they are steps ahead and now the rules have changed.

  15. Yeah they crushed the shit out of BBBY IV on this down trend. I agree, I sold off my NOV 10c and 12c today

  16. I have a legit question; this isn’t sarcasm or anything of that nature. I’m trying to gain a better understanding of your personal thesis.

  17. Thats a very valid question. I bought my calls before coming to the conclusion that next run up would be in december/january. My february calls are not great for that very reason sadly. Hopefully i can roll them if price increases a bit shortly. Otherwise lets hope they end up in the money. Ill award ya for visibility, best question i've received so far and i should have added details about theta decay. Ill edit my post.

  18. Hey thanks for the response. I understand conclusions can change with an evolving theory. I agree that more obligations need to be built up before seeing another big run unless some outside catalyst comes in from the company. I’ve been repositioning my call options as well even though it hasn’t been fun or profitable at times. Thanks for the award too; Good Luck

  19. I like the idea but why all the spreads? This seems crazy to manage regardless of what direction the market takes.

  20. I usually close an entire strike position at a time instead of a few contracts of the same strike. Personal preferance i guess. It also helps when i go back and record my profit/loss for the week as I keep track to make sure im green every week. I do a lot of trades...

  21. Makes sense, thanks for the educational reply. Also I do agree with your opinion on the local bottom. I personally believe the markets will rally into mid terms; plus the FED hasn’t put a dent in unloading their balance sheet yet. JPOW ain’t selling anything at the bottom or while the markets sliding. It’s pretty obvious the SPY has been making higher lows since June while the pull backs have been pretty gnarly they’re not as frequent as pre-summer trading. Good Luck.

  22. Near the money long dated calls is the only way to combat this. We need the the MM’s to hedge in our favor not in the shorts favor which they are currently doing. It’s already been proven in August with all the 1/20/23 OI and in GME Jan 21.

  23. How/where can you see the buying outweighing the selling on those option contracts?

  24. If you subscribe to live options data with your brokerage or you can record the OI daily and track it manually that way. After the run up in August the OI was around 100k for the Jan 80C it currently sits at 124k as of today, yesterday it was 121k roughly. The OI is steadily increasing

  25. I see what you’re saying now. I was thinking volume in my head and not open interest.

  26. They have been crushing IV the last couple days. Either that means the stock is about to run and they’re trying shake out the call chain a bit beforehand or the stock will continue downwards. Time will tell, I have a shit load of calls so hopefully we go up rapidly. Good luck

  27. That drop was from massive buys of ITM Puts coming in; then that created “some” retail capitulation.

  28. Thanks will do! It's like having huge itm options is good, but people are apprehensive for some reason haha. 🤔

  29. I don’t see the value in paying for ITM calls especially on a speculative event such as OPEX. Because if the trade goes against me the fluctuations in delta will cause me to lose a lot of value I paid for ITM. Long dated medium delta from .15-.40 seem to work well with GME OPEX. I’m trying a different strategy with this potential run with buying Nov calls versus Oct because I got burned pretty bad in August NOPEX with theta and drop in price. Position - OCT 75c, NOV 35c & 40c I bought when IV was around 94% / price at $27 earlier this week hope this helps you with ideas and things to look for

  30. I didn't buy any calls because I don't like the setup either. I just have the shares I've held forever.

  31. From a technical perspective the set up looks pretty good to me. Maybe the best since late May. I like hearing different peoples opinions and that’s why I’m here

  32. ?? 8-4 to 8-8 there wasn't even 55k ftds on the books, and Aug 7 was a Weekend. All we know is that it jumped 2.4 mill from July10 to July 11.... July 8 Fri. 777,475 Ftds. July 11 Mon 3,152,293.A difference of 2,374,818 added on July 11 so that batch if it didn't actually go down sub 30k by July 13, gives c35 Aug 16 for over 2 million.

  33. Those dates at the beginning of August where the stock ran up was due to ETF FTD’s which is a completely different set of fails all together. The fails that we see on Stocksera are MM FTD’s. The ETF fails almost always result in price improvement because they are usually net short from share creation. MM FTD’s usually just cause more volatility than increased price action. That’s really what kicked this whole thing off in August was a run up from clearing ETF fails that drove the price over the gamma flip point at $10 then it took off with FOMO etc. It’s curious that’s where we are right now; same place but the quarterly ETF rebalance happened today and any fails from rebalance have to settled next week and we need to break $10 again for anything spectacular to happen. Bought more calls today because got IV crushed another negative 10%.

  34. https://www.reddit.com/r/BBBY/comments/xfv5lp/bbby_ftds_for_bbby_and_etfs_containing_bbby_some/

  35. "That means these MM's that needed to close out FTD's were able to do so with a decent profit. "

  36. Most likely he is talking about MM FTD's which is different than ETF fails via share creation. There is a difference, at least from watching GME respond to MM FTD's which usually equates to increased VOL where as ETF fails are almost always net short which equates to price improvement. Look at price action in the first week in August for both tickers, that was ETF fails due. There are many other examples of this, Nov 3-5 2021. RC's buy ins for GME & BBBY always correlated with ETF and OPEX cycles.....for a reason.

  37. whats the app called exactly? not sure I have access to it as a europoor

  38. Fidelity updates it in real time on their mobile App. It helped me time some GME calls handsomely yesterday.

  39. What's "GM" and "DN" (DEEZ NUTZ! GOTTEM) but for real tho

  40. It's not cumulative though is it? By the 31st of last month the notional value was 2 million. So it closed off substantially, from a high of 32 million.

  41. Illegal AF? Didn’t someone just post the Citadel EOY report stated they sold but had not purchased some ridiculous amount of securities in the billions? I’m just assuming almost everything they do is illegal as the agency overseeing them hasn’t done shit for decades. Why would you think they aren’t doing illegal shit?

  42. They do pocket the difference, it’s arbitrage. Free money essentially as long as they can satisfy the Fails below the price they sold them at by the settlement date.

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